Thank you for your query.
It is difficult to tell you what chances you have for your appeal as this is a very complictated area.
I will refer you to two recent decision which I suggest you read:
Please do ot forget to rate my answer.
Thank you for your reply.
I believe that I have answered your initial question. Nevertheless, the Home Office can refuse your application on the basis of good character even if you did not use. This will be a matter for the appeal and how you present your arguments.
Please now kindly rate my answer positively.